By now it is a received wisdom that the proposal to set up a toll system for cars entering central Copenhagen was a vote loser for the Social Democrats. If we look closer at the numbers, things are a bit more complicated.
First, it is true that the Social Democrats lost both in Copenhagen and Copenhagen Suburbs, but we also have to take the performance of all parties which support the toll proposal.
Social Democrats 24,2% – 18,9% (-5,3)
SocDems+SocLibs+SF+Red-Greens 60,8 – 64,7% (+3,9)
Copenhagen Suburbs 2007-2011
Social Democrats 27,6% – 25,7% (-1,9)
SocDems+SocLibs+Sf+Rd-Greens 48,9% – 52,5% (+3,6)
Obviously, we also have to look at gross voter movements to see the exchanges between the “Red” and the “Blue” side but just pointing at the toll looks like a case of finding a convenient excuse for NIMBY politics.