1. Turn-out was up from 86.6 to
86.987.7%. A competitive campaign mobilises. There are no signs of apathy on the national level.
2. I can’t think of a situation where the (outgoing) prime minister’s party wins and the challenger’s party loses. The Liberals have won votes and seats but lost power in 1947 and 1975, though – in both cases the Conservatives were in a deep crisis.
3. It looks like the “red” side entered the campaign with a relative majority of 10-15 seats but ended it with only 3 seats (+ a little help from the North Atlantic seats).
4. The parties behind the retirement agreement from May still hold a safe majority in parliament.
5. For the Conservatives: Worst. Election. Ever.
6. And both prospective government coalitions (SocDem-SF and Lib-Cons) lost votes and seats.
7. The Social Liberal leader kept a distance to the Social Democrats while Helle Thorning-Schmidt invited the Social Liberals to negotiations.
8. The Christian Democrats are, like, dead, man.
9. I do not see this election as a showdown with the Danish People’s Party. Rather, the political agenda changed from immigration to the economy while the party’s core voters were loyal. The party still has a niche of 10-15% of the electorate.
10. There is no SocDem-SocLib-SF-Conservative majority. Life will not be easy for Helle Thorning-Schmidt as prime minister (but no, I don’t think the 2012 budget will bring down the government).