There is one thing which is slightly odd about this campaign. If we look at today’s (or rather yesterday’s) Berlingske Barometer, the calculated performance for the two alternative governments with the result of the 2007 election in parenthesis are:
Social Democrats: 25,4% (25,5%)
SF: 11,2% (13,0%)
Red Alternative: 36,6% (38,5%)
Liberals: 23,5% (26,2%)
Conservatives: 6,3% (10,4%)
Blue Alternative: 29,8% (36,6%)
Of course there are four other parties in the equation but I think it is rather unusual in a Danish context to see both main alternatives lose compared with the last election.
Another point could be that it has almost been a rule of thumb since the late 1970s that a government should build on at least 35% of the seats in parliament to be viable (with the Social Democratic government 1981-1982 as the exception – or perhaps not as it resigned after nine months). This raises the question how a government would be formed in the event of a centre-right victory.
Also: The combined share of the votes won by the Social Democrats and Liberals according to the barometer would be 48,9% – a very low share for the Big Two in a historical comparison.