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  1. avatar Norwegian Guy

    What is quite interesting is that for most of the period since the last election, the opposition has been significantly more popular in the opinion polls than the government parties. This only changed when they got close to the election. And this is the exact same thing that happened in Norway between the 2005 election and the 2009 election. A rough guess would be that the opposition was leading in the opinion polls perhaps 90% of this time, but this changed right before the election. The pattern seams to be that governments become quite unpopular relatively early after they get elected, but that the opposition loses much of it popularity right before the next election. You also saw this happen in Norway between the 2001 and 2005 elections, but in that case to government parties (plus the Progress Party) where not able to rebound quite enough to get reelected.

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