Charles Franklin walks us through some of the numbers regarding support for and opposition against civil unions and gay marriage.
Some short considerations:
- Just as with abortion, judicial decisions do not close the issue politically.
- Supporting gay marriage does not look to be a vote-winner – the question is of cause to what degree voters will decide on a presidential candidate depending on his or her position on gay marriage.
- Supporting civil unions as an alternative may not be a vote-loser.
It is of cause understandable that gay activists want to go for the full marriage (I will leave aside that gay marriage has an ironic connection to queerness) but the question is: Should you go for the strategic alternative that will see you on the losing side in the short term and risk mobilising a strong opposition with the argument that you can frame the issue in the longer term, or should you follow the path of least resistance?
Nested games, anyone?